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Sam Burns almost didn’t show up. His wife, Caroline, was due to give birth earlier this week, and the plan was to skip the 154th Open Championship entirely. She delivered early, told him to go play, and now the 29-year-old from Louisiana walks into Sunday at Royal Birkdale with a two-shot lead and a Claret Jug within reach.

Through 54 holes, Burns sits at 10-under par. Ryan Fox and Si Woo Kim share second at 8-under. Ryan Gerard and Lucas Herbert are at 7-under. Then comes the traffic: Bryson DeChambeau, Ludvig Åberg, and Jackson Suber all at 6-under, Tommy Fleetwood at 5-under, and a glut of major winners — Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Shane Lowry — lurking at 4-under, six shots back.

Nine players within five of the lead. The R&A hasn’t had a playoff at this championship since 2015, when Zach Johnson outlasted Marc Leishman and Louis Oosthuizen at St. Andrews. That’s the second-longest playoff drought in the last half-century. So here’s the primer: if two or more players are tied after 72 holes, Royal Birkdale will host a three-hole aggregate playoff across the 14th, 15th, and 18th. Lowest combined score wins. Still tied after that? Sudden death on the 18th, repeated until someone blinks.

The R&A typically prefers four holes — it used that format at Carnoustie, Muirfield, Royal Troon, Turnberry, and St. Andrews — but logistical constraints at certain courses have trimmed it to three, as was the case at Royal Portrush and Royal St. George’s. Prior to 1989, playoffs were 18 holes, and before that, 36.

Fox rocketed into contention with a third-round 62, jumping 50 places in benign morning conditions. The Guardian’s live coverage noted that a similar early charge Sunday isn’t out of the question — the forecast calls for warm, dry sunshine, highs in the low 70s, and a gentle 5-to-10 mph breeze. The kind of day that lets a player go low before the wind picks up and the leaders tee off.

DeChambeau, meanwhile, arrived at Birkdale roughly 40 hours removed from what the Guardian dubbed “Gardengate” — a scandal whose details remain murky but which has the two-time U.S. Open champion running on what was described as righteous fury. He’s four back. Whether that fuel sustains him over 18 holes on a links course that rewards patience over power is another matter.

Fleetwood, the Southport-born local favorite, is five shots off the pace. The gallery will be pulling for him every step. Åberg would be a broadly popular champion as well.

The purse is a record $17.75 million — the largest in Open history, though still the smallest among the four men’s majors. The winner takes $3.2 million, 18 percent of the total fund. Second place earns $1.842 million; third, $1.181 million. The payout extends through 78th place, with last money at $38,700.

Final-round coverage airs on USA Network from 4 to 7 a.m. ET, then shifts to NBC and Peacock from 7 a.m. to 2 p.m. Burns and Fox go off in the final pairing at 2:20 p.m. BST.

The last time the Open visited Royal Birkdale, Jordan Spieth lifted the jug in 2017. Next year it returns to the Old Course at St. Andrews, followed by Royal Lytham & St. Annes in 2028.

Burns has been knocking on the door of a first major for two years. He was visibly crushed after coming up short at the 2025 U.S. Open. Sunday, he gets another swing — with house money that suddenly feels like everything to lose.

By Tori Maddox

Tori Maddox will gladly spend an hour dissecting the glorious theater of tailgate culture and the latest jersey crimes before burying you in cold-blooded red-zone efficiency splits. She holds a career winning percentage against the office picks pool that she will happily remind you of at every opportunity. Tori has absolutely zero patience for anyone who underestimates her, and her matchup data speaks for itself.